factual
Sixty Percent Causal, Forty Percent Selection
About 60% of the variation in outcomes across neighborhoods (at the Census tract level) is due to causal effects of place, and about 40% is due to selection—different types of people living in different places; so selection clearly matters, but there is an important causal component.
factualpending
Speaker
Raj ChettyEvidence Quote
“We estimate that something like 60% of the variation in the data across neighborhoods is due to causal effects. And, 40% at the Census tract level is due to selection.”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:35:10 AM
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