The inflationary boom is the most likely scenario today because: (1) oil prices are capped near $100 (China stops buying above this), (2) US deficits remain at 7% of GDP, and (3) oil prices were capped at $120 during the recent Middle East crisis but didn't get there, so inflationary bust from energy spike is now unlikely. In an inflationary boom, the winning assets are value stocks, metals, and financials.

forecastpending

Speaker

Louis Gavk

Evidence Quote

I think the highest odds to be honest remains the inflationary boom

Source

There's Going To Be One Hell Of A Hangover When The Market Party Ends | Louis GaveAdam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:25:43 PM

My Notes

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