There is a courage or confidence gap preventing people from starting blogs even when they have demonstrated strong writing ability in shorter forms (Twitter, comments, emails); the gap is not primarily about lack of ideas or skill but about willingness to put unfinished work in a public, permanent form.

factualpending

Speaker

Scott Alexander

Evidence Quote

I hear a lot of stuff from people who are like, 'I hate writing blog posts. Of course I have nothing useful to say', but then everybody seems to like it and reblog it and say that they're great.

Source

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel KokotajloDwarkesh Patel
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:03:29 AM

My Notes

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