The US escaped its comparable 1940s public-debt-to-GDP peak through a combination of strong growth and inflation alongside explicit yield curve control: the Fed grew its bond holdings roughly tenfold from 1942-1945 and pegged the yield curve (e.g., ~1/3 of 1% at the front, 2.5% at the long end) with an open bid, holding yields at 2.5% even when inflation peaked at 19%.
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Lynn AldenEvidence Quote
“we peaked at 19% inflation, but they still, held yields hard at 2.5% even on the long end of the curve... increased their total bond holdings by about tenfold, from 1942 to 1945”
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:58:51 PM
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