forecast
Default good future is AI-mediated competition
The most likely achievable good post-AGI world is one of continuing economic and military competition among groups of humans, but increasingly mediated by AI systems doing the work (running companies, fighting wars) on humans' behalf, with strong world government emerging only over a very long timescale.
forecastpending
Speaker
Paul ChristianoEvidence Quote
“increasingly the world you imagine is one where AI systems are doing those activities on behalf of humans. So, like, I just invest in some index fund, and a bunch of AIS are running companies, and those companies are competing with each other.”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:36:05 AM
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