factual

Ads team bottlenecked by test compute not ideas

When Meta automated ad ranking experiment generation, they found they were bottlenecked not on hypotheses but on compute and on cohorts of people large enough to make tests statistically significant — even with 3.5 billion users, AI is only useful once its average hypothesis quality exceeds the best human-generated ones already above the testing line.

factualpending

Speaker

Mark Zuckerberg

Evidence Quote

We need to get to the point where the average quality of the hypotheses that the AI is generating is better than all the things above the line that we’re actually able to test that the best humans on the team have been able to do, before it will even be marginally useful for it.

Source

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 monthsDwarkesh Patel Podcast
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:33:00 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...