The Federal Reserve will cut rates at the upcoming FOMC meeting (98% probability in Fed Funds futures) but forward guidance is more uncertain, creating ambiguity about whether rate cuts will continue or whether policy will shift to a more hawkish stance in the face of Trump administration expectations for looser policy.

forecastpending

Speaker

Jack Forand

Evidence Quote

SEI fed wash tool I think is literally at 98% and so that that cut is a given the Market's expecting that and and and consequently there's not a lot of volatility that much volatility associated with this print

Source

Tesla, MicroStrategy and An Inside Look at the Biggest Options Expiration in Market HistoryExcess Returns
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:20:05 AM

My Notes

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