If AGI emerges in the near term under current scaling paradigms, it will likely be physically hosted in no more than three or four countries and accessed over the internet elsewhere, and in this scenario the U.S. could potentially control AGI proliferation by limiting access to the supercomputers needed for training and inference.
forecastpending
Speaker
Joel PreddEvidence Quote
“If an AGI were to emerge soon, it will emerge, as you're suggesting, in the scaling paradigm, in which very large investments in compute may be necessary to cross that threshold. And indeed in that world, we may be able to control the proliferation of it by limiting access to the supercomputers”
Source
Artificial General Intelligence's Five Hard National Security Problems— The Berkman Klein Center for Internet & SocietyCreated: 8/11/2026, 7:41:23 AM
My Notes
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