Daniel Kokotajlo is a member of Samotsvety, described as 'the world's top forecasting team', and has won major forecasting competitions, making him one of the best forecasters by technical measures in the superforecasting community.
factualpending
Speaker
Scott AlexanderEvidence Quote
“Eli Liflund, who's a member of Samotsvety, the world's top forecasting team.”
Source
AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo— Dwarkesh PatelCreated: 8/11/2026, 7:03:29 AM
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