Daniel Kokotajlo is a member of Samotsvety, described as 'the world's top forecasting team', and has won major forecasting competitions, making him one of the best forecasters by technical measures in the superforecasting community.

factualpending

Speaker

Scott Alexander

Evidence Quote

Eli Liflund, who's a member of Samotsvety, the world's top forecasting team.

Source

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel KokotajloDwarkesh Patel
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:03:29 AM

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