Blogging daily for the first 1-2 years is a reliable indicator of future blogging success; anyone who blogs daily eventually either becomes a good blogger or stops, suggesting that consistency beats innate talent.

factualpending

Speaker

Scott Alexander

Evidence Quote

whenever I see a new person who blogs every day it's very rare that that never goes anywhere

Source

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel KokotajloDwarkesh Patel
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:03:29 AM

My Notes

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