forecast
Median Expert Estimate For AGI Is 20 Years
If you ask computer scientists when human-like general intelligence (with self-set objectives) will emerge, the median answer is roughly 20 years, placing it within current listeners' lifetimes.
forecastpending
Speaker
Eric SchmidtEvidence Quote
“It won't happen in the next year or two. It's the median answer, if you ask computer scientists, it's 20 years.”
Created: 6/14/2026, 2:50:21 AM
My Notes
Loading notes...