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The scenario where one side achieves decisive technological advantage before the other (fast takeoff) could be more destabilizing than bilateral AGI development because it creates a window where preemptive action appears attractive

causalpending

Speaker

Gregory Smith

Evidence Quote

“one side of their getting there is actually a threat to the other one because you know maybe you take off... and all of a sudden you have a you know a decisive advantage from be getting there first. And that's where AGI sparking destabilizing relationships comes into more focus.”

Source

A New Cold War, Rise of China and Global Chaos: How AI Will Rewrite Geopolitics | Gregory Smith— Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:20:38 AM

My Notes

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