The best long-term scenario for US-China relations would be some form of 'transmutation' (internal change) in how the Chinese Communist Party and ruling class regard their duty to citizens, similar to how Britain and France eventually ended centuries of antagonism; the US has not had war plans against the UK for roughly 100 years.

forecastpending

Speaker

Jim Baker

Evidence Quote

some transmutation of the way the Chinese Communist Party, the Chinese ruling class regards itself and its duty to its citizens...Britain and France eventually give up after several hundred years of uh warfare...The United States hasn't had a war plan against the United Kingdom since roughly 100 years.

Source

The Challenge of ChinaThe Aspen Institute
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:26:02 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...