The big question is whether fertility decline will be maintained or whether some equilibrium will occur; it seems likely fertility decline will continue because wealth correlates with lower fertility and we do not expect people to become poor

forecastpending

Speaker

Luigi Zales

Evidence Quote

so far we have seen that the reacher you get on average the the fewer kids you have except as you mentioned the podcast if in the United States if you are very very rich now you have a little bit more kids than if you are poor but in general with the increase in in wealth we have seen a decline in the in the number of kids

Source

The Fertility Crisis: Capitalism's Next Challenge, with Sir Niall FergusonStigler Center
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:18:48 AM

My Notes

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