The consensus view in Washington has shifted from a few years ago when there was disagreement between those who thought China was '12 feet tall' and those who thought it was '2 feet tall,' with the vast majority now viewing China as a very significant threat, which creates a risk of groupthink where the policy realm tends to underplay China's internal structural challenges in favor of focusing on the threat China poses.

factualpending

Speaker

Mike Froman

Evidence Quote

I think a few years ago...there was a balance or schizophrenia between those who thought China was 12 feet tall and those who thought it was 2 feet tall. I think right now the vast majority of the consensus it views China as a very significant threat...I think we tend to underplay those challenges in the policy realm in Washington and instead really just focus on the threat or the challenge that they pose.

Source

The Challenge of ChinaThe Aspen Institute
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:26:02 AM

My Notes

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