When inflation is elevated, treasuries lose their traditional role as recession hedges because bonds and stocks become positively correlated, meaning they fall together in inflationary stress scenarios, invalidating a core assumption of portfolio construction.
causalpending
Speaker
Simon WhiteEvidence Quote
“when inflation is elevated...treasuries are recession hedge. I mean, when inflation is elevated, that that's just not the case...you tend to get bonds and stocks moving positively correlated [10:52]”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:06:30 AM
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