forecast
AI Success Means Staying On Current Trajectory
Success with transformative AI would frankly look like staying close to the trajectory we're already on: AI systems that behave as intended, act as tools and amplifiers of humans, remain broadly distributed rather than controlled by one government or person, and let us keep getting richer, wiser, and better at understanding ourselves—possibly eventually extending rights to AIs through public deliberation.
forecastpending
Speaker
Holden KarnofskyEvidence Quote
“If we could have a world where AI systems are just another technology that helps us do a lot of stuff... and everything is relatively broadly distributed and everything works roughly as it's supposed to work, then you might be in a world where we continue the trend we've seen over the last couple of hundred years”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:35:22 AM
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