Debt is not a neutral intertemporal transfer of consumption but a bet on future real-world inputs (energy, labor, materials, ecosystem stability); since the 1970s the US and world have grown debt faster than GDP every year, doubling debt every ~9 years while doubling GDP only every ~25 years, and debt productivity (GDP gained per unit of new debt) has declined for decades — meaning we borrow more for diminishing returns, which only works if the future can physically pay.
causalpending
Speaker
Nate HagensEvidence Quote
“we're borrowing more and more, but we're getting less and less bang for each additional debt dollar. This isn't leverage. This is diminishing returns with enormous risk.”
Created: 6/18/2026, 2:17:46 PM
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