The Schiller CAPE ratio was developed based on Benjamin Graham and David Dodd's principle that you shouldn't look at only one year of earnings because the economy is cyclical—you might be at the end of a boom (high earnings) or end of a recession (low earnings), so multi-year averaging is necessary.
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Speaker
Larry SwedroeEvidence Quote
“we shouldn't look at one year's earnings because you could be in the near the end of a boom in the economy earnings are going to be high and not sustainable”
Source
Investors Made These 9 Costly Mistakes in 2024 | Larry Swedroe Explains How to Fix Them— Excess ReturnsCreated: 8/11/2026, 7:39:47 AM
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