The conjunction fallacy—shown in Kahneman's Linda experiment where people judge 'banker and feminist' more likely than 'banker' alone—demonstrates that people seek explanatory theories that fit the given information rather than the most probable option.

factualpending

Speaker

Matjaž Leonardis

Evidence Quote

a lot of people uh pick option b even though um the probability calculus kind of tells you that... option a has to be more likely than option b

Source

Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity and ProbabilityDwarkesh Patel
Created: 6/13/2026, 7:01:37 PM

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