causal
Algorithmic progress sustained by field expansion
The rapid rate of progress in language modeling is largely sustained by scaling up investment — doubling the size of the field each time difficulty doubles — which can continue for a while (hundreds to tens of thousands of researchers), but progress would slow if researcher numbers were held fixed as low-hanging fruit is exhausted.
causalpending
Speaker
Paul ChristianoEvidence Quote
“Every time the difficulty doubles, you just double the size of the field.”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:36:05 AM
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