forecast
Checks and Balances Will Constrain Trump
Sam Harris's fear that Trump's narcissistic character will override any benefit of office misunderstands the American presidency: institutional checks and balances constrained Trump last time and will again, and democracy itself disciplined election denialism when vociferous Stop the Steal Republicans lost in 2022, so a fascist takeover under Trump (or communist takeover under Harris) sits at roughly 0.05% probability.
forecastpending
Speaker
Saagar EnjetiEvidence Quote
“I actually unironically believe in the American system of institutional checks and balances.”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:38:00 AM
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