causal
Next-token prediction can surpass human performance
Next-token prediction is not mere imitation that caps at human ability; because predicting the next token well requires understanding the underlying reality that produced the text, a sufficiently smart base network can extrapolate how a hypothetical person of far greater insight, wisdom, and capability would behave, even if such a person doesn't exist, deducing it from the thoughts, feelings, and ideas implicit in the behavior of regular people.
causalpending
Speaker
Ilya SutskeverEvidence Quote
“Predicting the next token well means that you understand the underlying reality that led to the creation of that token.”
Source
Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence— Dwarkesh Patel PodcastCreated: 6/13/2026, 3:26:51 AM
My Notes
Loading notes...