normative

Future Prediction Is Very Hard So Stand for Values

Because we know from Philip Tetlock's work that it is very hard to predict the future, one should not bet on speculative theories like 'Trump will revitalize the left' or 'Communism names a needed radicalism,' but instead stand directly for the right values—exemplified by Greta Thunberg's unambiguous, to-the-point climate message.

normativepending

Speaker

Tyler Cowen

Evidence Quote

We know from the work of Philip Tetlock, it's just very hard to predict the future, so why not stand up — directly for just the right values?

Source

Slavoj ZizekConversations with Tyler
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:34:10 AM

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