Choosing the shortest or longest observed baseline time from METR's measurement pool, rather than averaging, probably wouldn't change the final measurement significantly—it would just shift the absolute numbers, not the doubling rate that drives the headline findings.

factualpending

Speaker

Joel Becker

Evidence Quote

choosing the...shortest baseline time...or the longest time...it's actually not going to make that much difference...that wouldn't change the doubling time

Source

Understanding the Most Viral Chart in Artificial Intelligence | Odd LotsBloomberg Podcasts
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:03:24 PM

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