A 60% tariff on Chinese goods would be very bad for China but only mildly bad for US consumers because production would shift to Vietnam, India, or other countries rather than back to the US; this hurts the US geopolitical rival (China) at modest consumer cost.

forecastpending

Speaker

Peter Teal

Evidence Quote

if you did 60% across the board tariffs on China um it probably would be very very bad for Chinese companies and China it would only be mildly bad for us consumers

Source

Peter Thiel on the Triumph of the Counter-ElitesThe Free Press
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:46:09 AM

My Notes

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