The PC took 20-25 years to show measurable productivity gains; AI could be faster than electricity but on a similar or slightly shorter timescale than the PC.

forecastpending

Speaker

Unidentified Speaker — Tyler Cowen on how AI will reorder economies, schools, and … [3Bc_eXNCvlg]

Evidence Quote

the PC is a bit quicker than that. It's a 20 25 year time frame. So we could imagine AI being being faster.

Source

Tyler Cowen on how AI will reorder economies, schools, and spiritualityAzeem Azhar
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:33:25 AM

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