forecast

Programming disrupted fastest due to proximity and closed loop

Programming will change fastest for two reasons: it is close to the people building AI (skills distant from AI builders, like agriculture, get disrupted slower), and it closes the loop — the model can write code, run it, see results, and interpret them — unlike hardware or biology, so models will get good at it very fast.

forecastpending

Speaker

Dario Amodei

Evidence Quote

the farther a skill is from the people who are building the AI, the longer it’s going to take to get disrupted by the AI.

Source

Dario AmodeiLex Fridman Podcast
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:36:36 AM

My Notes

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