factual

Eighteen-Month-Olds Do Implicit Statistics

Despite adults being notoriously bad at explicit probability, 18-month-olds can implicitly perform statistical reasoning: shown that one object activates a machine eight out of ten times and another four out of ten times, they will choose the higher-probability object, and they do so even for closer ratios like two-thirds versus eight-tenths.

factualpending

Speaker

Alison Gopnik

Evidence Quote

they'll pick the one that has the higher statistical probability. In fact, they'll do it even if it's like two thirds versus eight tenths

Source

308 | Alison Gopnik on Children, AI, and Modes of ThinkingSean Carroll's Mindscape
Created: 6/13/2026, 12:24:35 AM

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