Adoption curves for new software technologies show saturation from introduction to 80-90% market penetration takes 7-8 years; computer-using agents are in year one (as of 2025), meaning ~2031-2033 most companies will have replaced keyboard-video-mouse workers with AI agents.
forecastpending
Speaker
Unidentified Speaker — Post-Labor Economics Lecture 02 - "Economic Agency Paradox"… [99umv8qIWVo]Evidence Quote
“adoption curves are about seven to eight years from uh an introduction of a new technology to 80 to 90% saturation...in seven to eight years, so about 2031, 2032, 2033, we're going to be at 80 to 90 plus percent saturation”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:28:39 AM
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