Space Probe Analogy for One-Shot Failure

Building aligned superintelligence is like launching a space probe that must work on the first try in an environment that differs from any test environment; even with full knowledge of physical laws, an $800 million probe was lost to a slow vapor buildup over years in vacuum, because no one will pay the vastly greater cost to anticipate every contingency - and we understand AI minds far less than we understand probes.