factual
Arrhenius Made Accurate CO2 Warming Prediction in 1896
In 1896 Svante Arrhenius identified the three key factors needed to forecast CO2-driven warming—that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, that a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapor which amplifies warming, and that added CO2 gradually partitions so about 80% ends up in the oceans—and used them to make a back-of-the-envelope calculation of warming from doubling CO2 that, while not exact, was remarkably close, demonstrating the deep and durable foundation of climate science.
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Speaker
Chris FieldEvidence Quote
“with those three things he was able to make a back of the envelope calculation of how much warming we'd expect with a doubling of carbon dioxide he didn't get exactly the right answer but it was pretty darn close”
Created: 6/14/2026, 2:17:57 AM
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