forecast
AI Is The Only Escape From Fiscal Checkmate
The most plausible scenario where the US avoids a major fiscal adjustment is that the AI revolution works magically better than imagined, with displaced workers acquiescing to government transfers funded by 'robot income' that keeps incomes high—technological change is the thing most likely to bail out US finances.
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Speaker
Kenneth RogoffEvidence Quote
“Oh, I don’t think there’s any question. It’s that the AI revolution turns out to just work magically much better than anyone imagined, that people like me quietly acquiesce to just getting transfers from the government instead of having jobs, and we just continue to have a high income, and the robot income pays for everything.”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:28:48 AM
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