forecast

Next Inflation Will Shatter Credibility

Although the recent disinflation showed remarkable central bank credibility, this means a second bout of inflation cannot painlessly solve the debt problem—when the next inflation comes, the credibility that anchored expectations this time will be shot ('fool me twice').

forecastpending

Speaker

Kenneth Rogoff

Evidence Quote

To come back to the earlier point about solving our debt if we ever have an inflation, I don’t think that’s going to happen again. When we have a second inflation, that time the credibility’s really going to be shot.

Source

Kenneth RogoffConversations with Tyler
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:28:48 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...