AI model intelligence (measured by IQ proxy) has doubled in the past year and is likely to double again this year, reaching beyond all humans (140+ IQ), and the trajectory may continue exponentially or follow Moore's Law, but we don't know what competence levels beyond 200 IQ even mean.

forecastpending

Speaker

Raoul Pal

Evidence Quote

the models now have an IQ of over 150 and it doubled last year alone and it's probably going to double again this year so in which case we're then beyond all humans [5:41]

Source

Emad Mostaque: AGI, AI Agents & the Future of WorkRaoul Pal The Journey Man
Created: 8/11/2026, 5:36:16 AM

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