Claims

The Biden administration is too optimistic about long-term Chinese decline trends and bases policy partially on that optimism; while Biden's China policy has some positive elements, this optimism should not be the basis of policy, and the US and allies cannot afford to 'sleep on this' and must find ways to actively weaken the CCP's ability to exert global influence and control.

Policymakers should assume the CCP will remain a highly resilient political entity despite long-term demographic and economic trends; the CCP has proven its ability to make difficult adjustments and subsume potential challengers (like businessmen under Deng Xiaoping's reforms) into the party structure, and should not be expected to decline without external pressure.