Donald Boudreaux
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Economist; prior EconTalk guest
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Claims by Donald Boudreaux (20 of 36)
Tariffs will unambiguously make Americans poorer and cause the US economy to grow more slowly than it would without tariffs, because resources diverted to higher-cost domestic production must come from somewhere else in the economy, causing prices to rise and living standards to fall.
The New Deal's policies probably extended the Great Depression rather than ending it, by creating uncertainty and pursuing protectionist policies like the Smoot-Hawley tariff, and the Great Depression did not truly end until after World War II when the New Deal policies were abandoned and business confidence returned.
The government has not learned the lessons from 2008; it continues to display willingness to extend credit to those who haven't earned the right to have that amount extended, and its demonstrated eagerness to bail out financial institutions will only encourage them to make equally imprudent moves in the future.
The basic relationship between taxes and economic output is that the more you tax something, the less of it you get. Broad-based, low-rate taxes are superior to high-rate, discretionary taxes that target particular activities, because narrow targeting approaches government economic engineering, picking winners and losers, which creates uncertainty.
Economic growth will slow but unemployment will remain relatively low and there will still be jobs available; graduates should major in fields with reliable employment prospects, though there is nothing wrong with majoring in fields with limited employment if one views it as a consumption good.
There is no empirical evidence that China stole jobs from Americans; US unemployment has averaged 4.2% for the past 10 years (excluding COVID), manufacturing output is near all-time high, real wages for production workers are at all-time high, and American exports are near all-time high.
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