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Donald Trump

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Businessman and political figure

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Claims by Donald Trump (20 of 23)

Medical Marijuana Has Been Amazing

Medical marijuana has been amazing according to friends and doctors, and recreational legalization can be acceptable if done lawfully with age restrictions and controlled systems, as Florida is doing well.

normativemedicine

Carrot vs Stick Depends on the Person

Effective negotiation requires reading the individual: some people respond to the carrot (friendship/incentives) and others to the stick (threat of economic and military power), but in matters of war the stick is generally more successful.

factualpolitics

Re-posts Cause More Trouble Than Original Posts

On social media, original posts in your own words are safer, while re-posts are the ones that get you in trouble because they may originate from groups you don't know are good, bad, or indifferent and that you're not supposed to be amplifying.

causalmedia

Life Is What You Do While Waiting to Die

Trump respects that everyone is 'in there' participating, and frames life as what you do while waiting to die, so you might as well do a good job.

normativephilosophy

New Media Platforms Outdraw Traditional Media

Winning the political game now requires understanding that new digital platforms (podcasts, Spaces) are dominating with audience numbers far exceeding what radio or television can deliver, and the media landscape has shifted dramatically in just the last two to three years.

factualmedia

Champions Share Drive Not Personality Type

Great champions in sports don't share a single personality type—some are nice like Arnold Palmer, others are cold and focused—but the one trait they all share is being extremely driven and refusing to give up, a passion exceeding that of people who don't perform as well.

factualpsychology

Public Speaking Skill Doesn't Transfer From Business

Success in business does not transfer to politics because many highly successful businesspeople 'choke' or suffer stage fright and cannot speak compellingly for an hour and a half in front of large crowds without losing the audience, which is a distinct and rare ability required of politicians.

factualbusiness

Surprise Is Essential to Negotiation Leverage

Disclosing a negotiating plan in advance—such as how to end the Russia-Ukraine war or deal with China—renders it unsuccessful, because part of the plan's effectiveness depends on surprise; therefore strategic plans must be kept secret to remain usable.

causalpolitics

Ukraine Death Toll Is Underreported

The death numbers in the Ukraine war are far higher than reported because both sides lie about and minimize casualties—claiming only one mild injury when buildings two blocks long are destroyed with people inside who have no chance of survival.

factualpolitics

Price Controls Always Fail and Lead to Communism

Price controls have been tried roughly 121 times in different places and never worked once; they lead to communism, socialism, empty shelves with no food, and tremendous inflation.

causaleconomics

Stick Achieved 18 Months of Taliban Peace

Direct deterrence (the stick) toward the Taliban leader Abdul produced 18 months without a single US soldier being shot at or killed, demonstrating that credible threats can suspend violence.

causalpolitics

Election Integrity Reforms Proposed

Election fraud can be solved by going to paper ballots, requiring voter ID, same-day voting, and proof of citizenship, the last being important because non-citizens are voting after entering the country.

normativepolitics

Afghanistan Withdrawal Triggered Putin Invasion

The chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal—the most embarrassing moment in US history, leaving 13 dead soldiers, hostages, Americans, and billions in equipment—signaled American weakness, which is why Putin invaded Ukraine, having concluded how stupid the US was.

causalpolitics

No Wars Because Adversaries Feared Trump

There were no wars during Trump's presidency—the first such span in 78 years—because foreign adversaries like China and Russia feared and respected him, as Viktor Orban attested when saying the world needs Trump back because everyone was afraid of him.

causalpolitics

Religion as Society's Guardrails

America is missing religion and was a much better place with it because religion served as a guide toward being good to people; without religion there are no guardrails on behavior.

normativesociology

Trump Forced NATO Allies to Pay

Trump claims he confronted NATO allies like Germany over defending them cheaply while they paid Russia billions for energy, and that NATO would not exist today without him, also ending the Nord Stream 2 pipeline which Biden later approved.

factualpolitics

Refused to Jail Clinton to Unite Country

Power did not corrupt him because, despite many people pushing him to 'lock up' Hillary Clinton, he declined to imprison the former Secretary of State because it would look terrible and you don't bring a country together by jailing political opponents.

normativepolitics

Won't Care Too Much to Avoid Choking

The way to draw strength while being heavily attacked is to not care too much about what people say, because people who care excessively about everything end up choking.

normativepsychology

Willing to Release Epstein and UFO Files

Trump says he would push the Pentagon to release more UFO footage and would be inclined to release the Epstein client list and JFK files, though he was begged not to release the Kennedy files because they endanger certain people.

forecastpolitics

2016 Election Won on the Border

Trump claims he was elected in 2016 because of the border issue—he told people what was happening and they understood it—and that the border is now 25 times worse than it was then.

causalpolitics

My Notes

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