Malcolm Roxburgh
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Nuclear industry professional; 50+ years experience in nuclear engineering and uranium markets; Canadian resident
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Claims by Malcolm Roxburgh (20 of 35)
When all existing uranium mines are fully contracted out (all their long-term production sold), spot price will spike because utilities and new reactors will have no choice but to buy on the spot market at whatever price is required; this is the key trigger event for uranium price appreciation.
If Three Mile Island replaces 50% of its core with new fuel and increases enrichment to extend the fueling interval from 12 months to 18 months, uranium demand would be roughly 3x the annual requirement of a steady-state reactor, creating a significant spike in near-term uranium purchases.
Uranium mining in remote locations (Northern Saskatchewan, Utah desert) faces persistent labor supply challenges because workers do not want to relocate or work on fly-in/fly-out schedules; this structural problem has existed for 50 years and will cause wage inflation, making mines less profitable unless uranium prices rise.
Uranium spot price and long-term contract price have historically diverged significantly; spot price is volatile due to trading and speculation, while long-term contract price reflects actual utility purchasing patterns and is a better indicator of true supply-demand fundamentals.
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