Mark Faber
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Macro trend forecaster, economist, investment analyst, author of 'Gloom Boom Doom Report' newsletter
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Claims by Mark Faber (20 of 235)
Social Security and unemployment benefits programs that began after the Great Depression fundamentally changed the economic relationship between individuals and state, and the expansion of these programs after the 1960s Great Society coincided with federal spending growth that crowded out private economic growth.
In a money printing environment, central banks create inflation that benefits asset prices including commodities, but a weak economy creates headwinds for commodity demand, and these opposing forces make it difficult to determine which will prevail in the case of copper and other industrial metals.
GDP figures published by governments are meaningless because they depend entirely on which inflation rate is assumed, and the same governments publish both the GDP figures and the inflation statistics, creating a circular manipulation where identical economic data can show 3% growth or 1% growth depending on assumed inflation.
Governments will continue to print money to create the illusion of growth when real growth doesn't exist, using fiscal deficits financed by central bank money creation to transfer wealth to households and subsidize industries, allowing politicians to appear successful while masking economic stagnation.
Real economic indicators show that since 2018-2019, the world economy in real terms has not grown but has actually remained below 2018-2019 levels, and when growth is measured as an increase in the standard of living of the typical household, there has been no growth globally with possibly one or two exceptions like India, as cost of living increases have exceeded salary gains.
Real-world statistics that cannot be easily faked—such as car sales, consumption patterns observed in shops, corporate announcements about consumer spending, traffic at stations and airports, and traffic in duty-free shops—are better indicators of actual economic health than government-reported GDP figures.
The rise and fall of manufacturing centers demonstrates economic gravity shifts: Manchester was the richest city around 1830-1840, then manufacturing shifted to the US East Coast, then to the Midwest around Chicago and Great Lakes, then to California, suggesting permanent reversal of urbanization patterns is possible.
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