Matthew Pierpont
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Commercial Director at Matterhorn Asset Management AG; precious metals and real assets expert; author
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When you raise the cost of debt when debt is the foundation ('rotten wind beneath the wings') of the post-2008 recovery—which is built on record high debt levels to sustain record high stock, bond, and real estate bubbles—and you reverse years of rate repression and money printing by keeping rates elevated, things start to break, which is what we are witnessing.
The bond market signals that the U.S. faces a debt ceiling and bond crisis; the problem can be addressed by 'mouse click money' at the Federal Reserve building (the Eccles building), but this approach only works temporarily until 'cracks in the ice' emerge—meaning systemic failures like the ones already witnessed (repo, guilts, regional banks).
Bernanke promised in 2010 that QE1 would be temporary with no consequences—a promise that proved false; Powell claimed in 2022 that inflation would be temporary—also false; central bankers use language to deny mathematical reality, creating a dichotomy between what they say and what the bond market reveals.
Economics and monetary policy are not boring academic topics; they fundamentally drive history—inflation, currency debasement, and war follow predictable patterns, as demonstrated by historical examples: Mao came to power after inflation, Napoleon after the French currency collapse of 1789, and Hitler, Mussolini, and Franco in the 1930s after European inflation; therefore understanding monetary policy is understanding the drivers of major historical and political change.
The Federal Reserve cannot solve a debt crisis with more debt without triggering a cascade of risks; it is like a blind man walking through a powder keg with a candle, trying to walk a fine line between different policy tools (QE, QT, rate adjustments) while hoping not to trigger an explosion and while attempting to control inflation through various rhetorical and technical tricks.
There is 'no easy answer' to the debt problem; Powell doesn't have easy answers either; there is no 'painless graceful way to change behavior' and the hangover is inevitable—people discussing this topic are not pretending to have solutions, but rather identifying that pain is unavoidable regardless of policy choices.
You can theoretically keep a bubble from popping by continuously monetizing it with 'mouse click money,' but this just creates a different problem: unavoidable inflation; the choice is between 'necessary austerity moment in the markets' or 'absolute murder of the purchasing power of your currency'—both are painful, just different forms of pain.
There is broad consensus among intelligent, courageous analysts (Ray Dalio, Lacey Hunt, Daniel Martina Booth, David Stockman, and others) about the core problems in the monetary system; they are not claiming to be the truth but rather being honest about what they think, which is what is missing from mainstream media, politics, and central banking.
Matterhorn Asset Management exclusively deals in physical precious metals (gold and silver) stored in private vaults outside the banking system in Switzerland, specifically in hidden vaults deep in the Swiss Alps; 70 percent of global gold refining occurs in Switzerland, allowing direct sourcing from refiners to clients.
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