Paul Romer
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Economist known for endogenous growth theory and increasing returns
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Claims by Paul Romer (20 of 220)
The weakening of property rights in the music business (de facto, from easy copying) is not alarming, and Apple's iTunes created a better form of property right than the CD; the unintended result of weaker recorded-music rights has been a premium on live music, since concert halls can still close their doors, leading to more touring.
With fixed recipes, adding more physical capital runs into diminishing returns—the way a distribution center gains huge value from the first forklift but almost none from the fiftieth—which is why economies like the Soviet Union that tried to grow purely through heavy capital investment with essentially no innovation grew briefly then rapidly stalled.
America's exceptional growth came from getting two complementary institutional systems right simultaneously—the institutions of learning and discovery (universal education, universities, research) AND the institutions of the market (property rights, free entry, competition)—and it is the interaction of the two, not either alone, that has been so powerful; many nations pushed science institutions without fully adopting market institutions.
A 'meta idea' is an idea that helps us get better at discovering ideas; the modern research university—created in the US via the land-grant system and Morrill Act in the 1860s-70s—was such a meta idea, designed for practical problem-solving (growing crops, building bridges, welding railroad boilers) rather than ivory-tower study of classics, and it created a whole new idea-discovering system.
Ideas differ fundamentally from scarce physical resources like iron ore: for iron ore one price miraculously does two jobs (motivating production of an extra unit AND allocating it to the right person), but for ideas this breaks down—society should pay a huge amount to motivate discovery, yet once discovered the efficient use price is zero because there is no congestion or cost in additional use.
From a physicist's standpoint we never actually 'produce' anything—conservation of mass means all matter already exists—so all economic activity is rearranging existing things according to recipes or formulas into more valuable configurations, which reframes sustainability: we are not using up raw materials but rearranging a vast 'tinker toy set' from low-value to high-value states.
Infinitely strong property rights, beneficial for land, would be catastrophic for ideas: pushing IP to the extreme would let an initial holder block all subsequent innovation—imagine needing to negotiate with the heirs of whoever invented the A-minor chord before playing it—so the right regime must allow controlling something for sale to consumers while never giving blocking power that prevents better versions from emerging.
There are multiple successful paths for developing countries to acquire world ideas—China and Singapore relied heavily on direct foreign investment, while Japan and South Korea relied mostly on domestic firms copying foreign ideas—and both worked, so direct foreign investment is helpful but not essential; what fails is the India-style approach of admitting a firm then throwing up trade barriers, which froze the same cars in production for 30 years with no improvement.
Even with no protection for ideas, discovery would continue from non-monetary motivations (secrecy, reputation, curiosity, glory); the claim is not that discovery would stop without incentives but that since discovery already proceeds at an exciting rate under reduced incentives, turning up the dial slightly could accelerate it—though done badly, bureaucratized subsidies could strangle the golden goose and leave us worse off than no subsidies at all.
China and other poor countries can grow at 8-12% per year not because of inherent superiority but because they start from a low base and can copy existing technology from frontier nations like the US; as they catch up, their growth rates will necessarily slow, and they may never overtake the US in per capita terms.
Small differences in growth rates compound into dramatically different income levels: at 2.1% per year income per capita increases about eightfold over 100 years (e.g., $30,000 to $240,000), but at 2.6% it increases about thirteenfold (to ~$390,000), so half a percentage point produces nearly twice the standard of living over a century.
The US grew about half a percentage point per year faster than the UK over the 20th century not because of access to secret technology but because America developed superior institutions—the rules of the game—that encouraged more rapid discovery and implementation of brand new things.
Classical economics from Adam Smith and Malthus was built on physical objects and scarcity; economists recognized ideas, formulas and recipes were important and discovery drove growth, but lacked the tools to model technological change, so they labeled it 'exogenous'—a highfalutin jargon term to cover their ignorance—and treated the production function as a black box.
To maintain a constant percentage growth rate as income rises you must add increasing absolute value each year; knowledge building on itself ('standing on the shoulders of giants') makes discovery easier but not fast enough alone to sustain the rate, so constant—even accelerating—growth has been achieved by putting more and better-trained people to work on discovery, both per capita in the US and in absolute numbers worldwide.
National economic rivalry framed as winners and losers is misleading; it is better reframed as rivalry between US states—just as Illinois benefits rather than loses when Intel develops cheaper microprocessors in California, nations benefit from each other's technological advances through trade, so it does not matter where an invention originates.
As agricultural productivity rose (roughly 40% of the labor force was in agriculture in 1900), the labor freed up was not destroyed but redeployed—through educating successive generations—into the discovery of better ways to do things, since human intellect is the scarcest commodity and rising productivity frees more of it for discovery.
The Soviet Union's military equipment (e.g., MiG fighter jets) was near the technology frontier while its consumer goods like washing machines were terrible, because the military sector faced genuine competitive pressure to keep up with US technology while the consumer sector did not—demonstrating that competition, not central direction, drives discovery and productivity.
Unlike a common pasture, which suffers the tragedy of the commons through overuse and congestion when shared freely, there is no tragedy of the intellectual commons—an idea like oral rehydration therapy can be used by everyone simultaneously with no overuse, congestion or degradation, because ideas are non-rival.
The market and science represent opposite institutional extremes: the market's central idea is a perpetual ironclad property right (e.g., over land), while science is the opposite—it rewards you precisely for publishing, giving away, and renouncing any property right over a valuable idea—and for most discoveries the US has settled on a healthy middle (patents, copyrights, secrecy) that grants partial, temporary property rights rather than perpetual ones.
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