Sergei Renko
About
Historian, expert in Cold War and nuclear history, Wilson Schmid Distinguished Professor at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies
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Claims by Sergei Renko (20 of 41)
In the 1993 Russian parliamentary elections following Yeltsin's crackdown, the LDPR (Liberal Democratic Party of Russia), an ultranationalist/fascist party under Vladimir Zhirinovsky, won the most seats, followed by the Communist Party, meaning that fascists and communists together commanded a large part of Russian parliamentary support.
Historians and policymakers cannot definitively resolve debates about whether earlier Western toughness toward Russia (in 2013, 2014, or otherwise) would have prevented Russian aggression, since neither the 'firmness would have deterred' nor the 'firmness would have provoked' positions have empirical evidence.
Russia is a much weaker partner to China than in the past, and if China chooses to exercise power over Russia on key issues, Russia has historically claimed strategic independence and would face a difficult situation being effectively vassalized by China—which would contradict Russia's long-term strategic interests.
Soviet leaders from Stalin through Gorbachev valued status and legitimacy as much as or more than ideology; they desired to be recognized as a great power on the international stage and felt deeply insecure despite their military strength, requiring external validation particularly from the United States.
Brezhnev told Kissinger in 1973 at a hunting lodge near Moscow that the Soviet Union's objective was to 'manage the world together with the United States,' reflecting an aspiration to co-manage global affairs rather than unilateral domination, though the Soviets lacked the economic means to realize this ambition.
Modern Russia, like the Soviet Union, possesses a sense of 'special entitlement to Greatness' based on historical achievements (space exploration, World War II victory, nuclear weapons) but lacks the economic and cultural resources to translate this into actual global influence, creating a chronic mismatch between aspirations and reality.
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