YouTube2h 25m· Jun 2022· cataloged

Core Human Motivations | Kunal Shah | Knowledge Project 141


What this covers

Check out my New York Times Bestselling book, Clear Thinking. It's packed with proven frameworks and practical strategies that will give you a roadmap to navigating any situation with poise and intelligence – https://fs.blog/clear/

Entrepreneur and venture capitalist Kunal Shah calls on his decades of entrepreneurial experience to discuss what he’s learned about what motivates people, and how observing trends have made him a runaway success in business. Shah also discusses the cultural differences between India and the West, the lessons he learned growing up in the family business, why he dropped out of an MBA program, strategies for decision-making, and so much more.

Shah is the founder and CEO of CRED, an Indian fintech company that serves as a reward-based credit card payments app. Shah also currently sits on the board of a variety of Indian companies and has served as an investor in dozens of companies since 2016.

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00:00 - Intro 00:27 - Lessons Kunal learned growing up 08:37 - On the fear of failure and shame 11:55 - Value vs. price 20:15 - Standardization of businesses 23:19 - What people pay for 32:51 - Who we do (and don’t trust) 34:38 - Focus in Asian markets 38:10 - Value of time in India 41:40 - Kunal’s startup journey 1:00:35 - What predicts startup success 1:06:42 - On insight 1:11:02 - Core human motivations 1:14:55 - Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs in America vs. India 1:18:06 - On your group of friends and compounding 1:24:29 - Sharpening insight through public discourse 1:29:55 - On signaling 1:31:47 - Inner v. Outer scorecard 1:35:15 - On jealousy of different levels 1:43:46 - Most people aren’t in the truth business 1:53:45 - On getting surprised 1:55:28 - Wealthy people keep secrets 2:02:32 - On making decisions 2:18:35 - Opportunity cost 2:22:10 - on hiring high performers

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*The Knowledge Project* features in-depth conversations with the top CEOs, investors, and business leaders to uncover the timeless principles that drive success. Learn more at https://fs.blog/podcast

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Sharpest takeaway

Kunal Shah argues that business success depends on understanding human motivation and creating asymmetric efficiency improvements (Delta IV), rather than copying Western business models; he contends that insights—the smallest actionable units of truth—are the currency of successful entrepreneurs, and that sustained wealth comes from holding information asymmetry while most people optimize for short-term gains.

  • The Delta IV framework (efficiency gains ≥4 points) creates irreversible behavior change and is the true driver of startup success, not user count or generic 'build and they will come' strategies
  • Business communities like Gujaratis and Jewish populations succeed through low shame, natural understanding of unit economics, trend-spotting, and community support—cultural factors absent in most STEM-focused Indian founders
  • Sustained wealth and business success require understanding core human motivations (status, mating success, offspring success) which manifest differently across cultures but drive all consumer behavior

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0.76

All jokes are built on pattern-breaking surprise; humor emerges when the brain anticipates a pattern and the joke delivers an unexpected alternative, creating emotional arousal.

causalhigh valueestablishednovelty 2/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

all jokes are surprises go deeper on that so if you think about a joke it's a it's building a pattern and then it switches to a pattern that you cannot anticipate and therefore it creates an emotion in us and makes us laugh

0.75

Children rewatch animated content repeatedly and enjoy it because their brains haven't yet extracted all patterns; adults seek novel content to find new patterns; novelty-seeking drives entertainment preferences.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

kids love watching watching animated movies again and again they watch it six times they're still happy they watch it ten times they're still happy because their brain is not evolved to find patterns and they are constantly finding new things all the time when they watch the same content but humans like we don't like watching the content again because we figured out all the patterns

0.75

Asian Maslow's hierarchy differs from Western Maslow's: it's organized around status, belonging, respect, and community affiliation rather than individual self-actualization; therefore Asian consumers optimize for status signals to community over personal fulfillment.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i i actually googled i found doesn't i thought it should be in a separate asian mask but in fact there is a concept somebody's proposing asian master and they have drawn a very different chart but one of the interesting thing about the chart was it's all about status belonging respect and in the community it's not about self-actualization and uh uh having that uh kind of a individual path to enlightenment is all about affiliation respect uh status and that and therefore you see that a lot in india that uh people are constantly craving status

0.75

Reputation compounds slowly (dollar-a-day deposit limit) but collapses instantly (nearly total withdrawal on mistake); hacking reputation creates severe social penalty while slow building grants exponential compounding power.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

reputation is a bank account where you can only deposit a dollar a day but every time the withdrawal is almost nearly complete so if you make a mistake on your reputation the withdrawal will be complete but in terms of deposit you can only almost deposit a dollar a day you can't hack reputation in fact everybody who tries to hack a reputation is penalized badly by the society

0.69

Unhappy couples who broadcast happiness on social media are signaling weakness and insecurity; genuinely happy couples don't feel the need to advertise, indicating locus of control is external vs internal.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Unknown Speaker (Host)

some of the unhappiest couples that i know of in real life are on social media the happiest couples uh they have an acute need to show that they're happy and then they hope that showing that will make them really happy but the real people don't feel the need to show it to anybody else

0.69

Opium trader David Sasson built Bombay and the British built India's rail network to support his opium trade with China; Hong Kong was created as a settlement following the Opium War.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

he was the largest opm trader for the region and british made the entire rail network to support his opium business which grew opium across the world india and shipped it through bombay to guess where china and david sasson had a huge role to play in the opium war that happened where british attacked china because they stopped david's supply to go to china because of banning opium and hong kong was born out of the settlement of opium war

0.69

TikTok's success is due to maximum pattern-breaking velocity: it delivers surprise after surprise in rapid succession, hijacking the dopamine system and enabling hour-long engagement.

causalhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

tick tock is surprise super machine you can spend hours on it and your brain will not stop getting surprised

0.69

India's per capita income of nearly $2000 annually is misleading; when you remove the top 30 million families/individuals, per capita income drops to ~$600, making India a 'DAU farm' for tech companies seeking users but with low monetization (ARPU) because most people don't have money to spend.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

india has now nearly two thousand dollars per capita income uh annually but if you remove the top 30 million families or 30 million individuals the per capita income would drop to maybe 600 and therefore a lot of western markets love to come to india and say oh india is the next china it's not

0.69

Indians spend 5-10x annual salary on two-day weddings with thousands of guests they don't know because weddings are the ultimate status display mechanism in Asian societies; this is incomprehensible to Western individualists who prioritize personal experience over community signal.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

and it's not surprising when you go to weddings there are thousands of people who come for a wedding how can you know them but it's all about demonstrating to them that i've made it in life and that's the asian mass law and therefore the startups the rivers are different uh versus the rivers that exist and therefore very few sas companies making millions of dollars of revenue but there are enough wedding photographers i know who make more than 10 million dollars of revenue

0.69

Maximum Retail Price (MRP) regulation in India forces all retailers to charge the same price for a product regardless of location (poor neighborhood or affluent neighborhood), which violates free market principles and prevents price differentiation that would increase overall market size by allowing affluent customers to pay more.

normativehigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

india has this unique concept called mrp i don't know if you know about this but let's say this bottle over here it says that maximum retail price of this bottle is 10 rupees and even if it's sold in extremely affluent neighborhood or the most poor neighborhood the price is 10 rupees because the government thought this is the greatest idea ever that we'll have the same price for everybody but i could easily pay 30 rupees for that and somebody else could pay five rupees for that and increase the market overall but we enforce an artificial concept of mrp which is stopping the the core tenets of free market and capitalism to grow

0.69

Personalization and customization create 3-10x price premium over commodity offerings because consumers value the ability to differentiate themselves and signal status, regardless of functional utility improvements.

causalhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i realized that people love the idea of being making something personalized versus buying something from the store which is mixtape of somebody else and and the idea of gifting they were okay to pay three to four x more than the normal mixtape that they would get from the market because this is made by me right

0.69

FreeCharge succeeded because it created behavioral change by combining value (utility incentives) with convenience (reducing friction), achieving delta-4 efficiency improvement over the previous state (going to retailers).

causalhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

what i realized that i was going for the mass market through that but it was impossible to monetize they just did not have any money so after i exited the first company

0.69

Opportunity cost decisions are best framed as hourly value generation: compare the market cap generated per hour in different activities and allocate time to highest-value-per-hour paths.

normativehigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

it comes to what metric you're optimizing for if it's let's say wealth for the sake of making argument or opportunity cost not all things create the long term roi that you think it does right for example you'll say i'm gonna do a startup or do this job in consulting and i i might just miss out the opportunity to make some money in consulting and lose that early day in the startup i think constantly thinking from a lens of value per hour and and uh cost per hour so so one framework i use is uh every now and then we should figure out a way what is our value per hour and we should figure out any mechanism dcf salary whatever and then you say hey whatever work i'm doing is this generating more market cap per hour than i am doing right now

0.69

Apple's privacy announcement (preventing tracking) forced Facebook and advertising networks to lose information asymmetry, causing stock and revenue collapse, demonstrating dependence on data advantage.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

for example a lot of social media uh stock market tanked and revenue tang when apple announced a way to not be able to keep more information asymmetry and boom you can't predict many things about people and therefore your revenue will tank

0.68

Market is like the laws of physics; you can be the greatest founder with a terrible market and die, or be a mediocre founder with great market tailwinds and succeed; therefore, finding where the rivers of motivation exist (where market demand is) is more important than founder quality.

causalhigh valuecontestednovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

you need to focus on the right market because you can be the greatest founder if you meet the bad market you will die but if you find a market that has used tailwinds to it even a mediocre founder will do really really well right so i think market is like laws of physics

0.68

Academic education teaches memorization and exam-passing; practical philosophy should teach truth-seeking and continuous questioning, but is systematized out of education systems designed for compliance.

factualhigh valuecontestednovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

truth seeking is not something that is taught actively in our education system because we want people to accept what we teach them so that they can crack the curriculum or the exams that we've created for them and we but we're not teaching truth seeking uh truth seeking for example i would say that philosophy should be mandatory in all uh school education because it teaches you how to seek truth and question everything that you even studied

0.65

Biomass of ants and humans on Earth is roughly equal despite huge population difference, because both species figured out how to cooperate and maintain information structures; species that don't cooperate and maintain information asymmetry get stuck in status competition with no growth.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i was reading an interesting thing that the biomass of ants and humans is the same in the world which is the number of kilograms of weight that we have on this planet because both of these species figure out how to cooperate and keep this information structure growing right and others don't and and they are constantly stuck in the status society and not cooperative societies

0.65

Wrapped gifts excite because they are pleasant surprises with safety context established (trusted giver); unexpected packages without context trigger fear (potential bomb) despite identical contents and presentation.

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

we love a gift that is wrapped and we know uh by the way will not love a gift that's come randomly to our house with no name on it and we are like scared but yeah let's say your loved one gets you a surprise which is packed nicely you are just excited because you do not feel the threat attached to this the same gift looks the same feels the same way is the same and causes different emotion you are like oh has somebody sent me a bomb

0.63

Trust is fundamentally biological and correlated with low ethnic/cultural diversity; as societies become more diverse, trust decreases, which leads to the emergence of authoritarian leaders as a solution because people want someone strong to create order in low-trust chaos.

causalhigh valuefringenovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

as trust is natural in societies that have very low diversity of ethnicity and that is a scary thought because all sorts of bad behavior have happened in human history because we tried to attack the minority and and always try to uh make the society one uh i but it's unfortunately seems to be true that trust is biological and and we seem to trust people with common belief systems and and and ethnicity plays a huge role

0.57

Soulfulness and inefficiency are correlated; everything that feels soulful in life (vacations, food) is inefficient, suggesting that scaling and efficiency are the enemies of soulfulness, and that Western society has figured out how to scale what was previously only available through inefficiency.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 3/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

everything that feels soulful in life is inefficient all the vacations that we find very soulful are inefficient places the food that we really really like and find soulful are inefficient to cook right so i always find these interesting things that maybe soulfulness is a function of chaos and inefficiency which western society has figured out how to scale

0.57

Deep insights connect across seemingly unrelated domains because core principles remain consistent; education and gambling are structurally similar (hope-based decision making), as are luxury goods and education (status signaling).

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 3/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

on the surface level they look like very very different businesses right for example i can't tell you how similar education and gambling businesses are at the crux of it and and why people do what they do and why the gross margins seem to be high when why luxury goods businesses is similar to education businesses because the crux of it the principles are remaining the same

0.56

Less than 6% of urban Indian women have financial income of their own; 94% are taking care of children/family; 95% of all financial products in India are bought by men; this means the per-capita income statistics for India are highly skewed by male earners, and female participation in the labor force is declining (unlike China before growth).

factualhigh valueestablishednovelty 1/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

less than six percent of urban indian women have financial income of their own 94 of them are currently taking care of kids or taking care of the family and not contributing to the labor force but they're all educated they are probably undergraduate grads or even higher but not contributing to the labor force another interesting thing is 95 of all financial products in india are bought by men

0.56

Products/services that exist today are more efficient than they were 20 years ago without exception; humans are constantly moving from inefficiency to efficiency in one direction (like an arrow of time); therefore any product that shifts you from state A (inefficient) to state B (more efficient) unlocks wealth because it reduces local entropy.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

if i asked you friend that which product or service was more efficient 20 years ago than it is today if you if i have asked you this question which product or service was more efficient 20 years ago than it is today it's really impossible to find an answer like it's there was nothing more uh more efficient all the efficiency exists in the future so humans are constantly moving from inefficiency to efficiency in one direction and like almost like arrow of time

0.56

Successful entrepreneurs are philosophers who continuously seek truth; the frequency of truth-seeking determines competitive advantage because business disrupts at accelerating rates, making outdated knowledge increasingly dangerous.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

if you really spend time with entrepreneurs who are successful and and let's say successful for consistently successful you'll almost feel that they are philosophers yeah and and what is philosophy it means filo plus sophie which is love for knowledge or love for truth right and therefore the reason they are successful consistently because they are in the business of seeking truth

0.55

Gujarati business communities possess a natural need for spotting trends (expressed through the greeting 'shu nawajuni'—'what's trending') which enables them to enter new markets before competitors, and they deliberately seek low-competition areas by relocating globally rather than competing in saturated markets.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the third lesson is uh natural need for spotting trends so one of the things that is there i am part of the gujarati community which is the business community of india and they have this greeting when the two business people meet normally people say hey hello how are you what's up they have one more thing which is called shu nawajuni which means hey what's trending what's new what are the new trends and they share that on a more regular basis which makes them spot new trends and be in businesses that other people would take a long time to enter into because they love the new new trends because they believe that the value is going to be where they are less likely to have competition

0.55

Communities like Gujaratis and Jewish people offer below-market interest rates to members of their community for business loans because banks won't serve them, creating a virtuous cycle where community support enables more entrepreneurs to start businesses and compound generational wealth.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the community benefits uh one of the things i have noticed in gujarati community is that just like jewish communities that they offer significantly lower interest rate to people in their community because banks are less likely to underwrite and obviously this is pre-venture capital to give them loans to say it's okay try to make something out of it and try to return the capital when you can but a very low interest rate just nominal because they love to see more people be successful

0.55

Nepotism in high-trust/low-diversity societies is rational trust economics, not corruption: concentrating opportunity among in-group members maximizes expected outcomes because familiarity reduces information asymmetry.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i would say 80 85 percent of bollywood's revenue comes from like 10 15 people again concentration of trust and and therefore by the way we even watched that kid's movie so nepotism is very rampant in india because you're like oh this this guy's son i trust him to do a good job but i'm not risking my money on this new actor

0.55

People who were bullied or mocked early in life develop a superpower of not caring about social judgment, which is a key advantage for entrepreneurs; in contrast, people trained through shame (especially in Asian societies) develop a long-term bug where they constantly think about others' opinions and cannot take reputational risks needed for wealth creation.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i've thought a lot about shame as a topic i think a lot of people who have been bullied and shamed and mocked early in life develop an unusual superpower to not give a damn about being mocked anymore right uh it's not surprising if one would say that hey elon uh the way you are were you mocked a lot when you were younger because you were not a normal guy and and one would even say that you look like a guy on the spectrum and the guy would probably say yeah probably true but he doesn't feel that anymore right

0.55

Hinduism is an open-source religion (no single book, no God, constantly evolving principles) which is hard to scale to other societies but creates more spiritual meaning; in contrast, standardized religions with codified rules are easier to scale but are easier to disrupt because of their rigidity.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

uh hinduism uh isn't i would say not as scalable as let's say many other religions because it's not standardized there is no one book no 10 rules no one god so what do you really scale it's an open source religion which people make and built on some principles and tenets which are constantly evolving and people are allowed to tweak it on their own terms so it's like evolving very very differently and therefore hinduism is mostly spread through birth but not through scaling to other societies

0.54

All human motivation can be understood as seeking to increase social status (to improve mating success) and to improve offspring success; these core motivations manifest differently across cultures but are universal, and understanding them is key to predicting what people will pay for.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

core human game is to constantly improve our social status so that we improve our mating success or our success of our progeny in some ways right uh so we are trying to get into a game where biologically we can create more and more healthy and smarter and like for example the easiest way to answer this question is that if we could really create designer babies would people spend most of their income on that or not

0.52

Curiosity about the source/origin of common things reveals hidden patterns and first principles; studying why shampoo is named 'shampoo' or how Hong Kong emerged from opium trading connects dots others miss.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i was curious about shampoo as a product i'm like who the hell came up with this name and and then i found that the original story of shampoo is an indian trader who went to europe to sell a shikakai which is a different product in india and sold it are the chumpy champions like head massage which creates foam and that was called shampoo by european guys

0.52

People don't back politicians for being right; they back them for appearing to have a backbone/certainty; certainty reduces voter processing burden and provides illusion of control.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

people don't back people who are right and wrong people back people who seem to have a backbone uh because i can't process all this information

0.52

All bad behavior is rooted in short-term thinking; long-term thinking naturally eliminates most unethical conduct because 10+ year consequences become visible.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

all bad behavior is rooted in short-term thinking every bad behavior in human beings comes from being short-term about everything right and i think if you play a long enough game it doesn't seem like a bad thing

0.52

Most people dislike basic, simple answers because high-IQ environments feel like cheating when solutions are obvious; but truth compresses to simplicity when deeply understood.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

these things are not something that people are curious about the answers are usually very simple and basic and that's another thing we don't like basic answers we are like oh that seems super simplified but the truth is that when you really go and distill that things will become simple and basic but we don't i think when you're in a high iq zone that it feels like cheating when you get simple answers

0.52

Gross margins exist when products help people increase social status; gross margins disappear when products are purely utilitarian because customers will only pay the minimum price; therefore business models that create status or hope (like Vegas, education, luxury goods) have higher margins than utility businesses.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

by design gross margins exist when you allow human beings to jump their social status and gross margins disappear when you do not help them increase their social status for example i will keep moving to a utility server provider as long as they keep offering me lower price as long as the time required and the effort required is the same because the department of your brain that deals with that is the cfo of the brain who's only looking for cost cuts but the cmo of your brain is saying that oh my god if i crack hbs and i will be able to jump the social status

0.52

Seeking truth is painful; most people don't appreciate the joy of seeking truth for its sake, preferring easy answers; insights come from going to first principles (origin stories, not accepting things as they are), but this requires doing the painful work of seeking truth rather than accepting social narratives.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

seeking truth is painful uh shen you've been doing this for a while like how many more blogs will it take to get close to the truth you will probably not find it but the joy of seeking truth for the sake of it is not natural and therefore a lot of people do not appreciate it enough but insights become this nice building block through which you can create great businesses unlock great success

0.52

Shah tested his hypothesis that Indian society cares disproportionately about status by analyzing retail gross margins on living room furniture vs bedroom furniture; living room margins were 3x higher because living room is public (shows status to guests) while bedrooms are private (no status signal), validating that consumer spending correlates with public visibility.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i had this view that oh india cares about status so much more than the western society let me do an thought experiment i reached out to my friend who is to be a buyer of a top retail chain in india i asked her to check can you check if the gross margin on all products sold for living room is lot more than the gross margin of all products sold for the bedroom and nobody had ever analyzed data like that in retail ever because it's like kitchen and sofa and furniture and all of that nobody thought living room and bedroom has two separate concepts but i said can you please make somebody crunch it and turns out the gross margin was 3x more

0.52

In his second startup, Shah focused on the top 25 million affluent Indians (those who understand time value) rather than the mass market, directly contradicting the narrative that 'India = 1.4 billion users'; he deliberately excluded the 1.2 billion poor because they cannot value time or pay for products.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i told my investors that i'm building a startup that will only focus on the top 25 million customers of india because only they can value time or will buy and rather focus on them versus acquiring hundreds of millions of customers which cannot be monetized because they can barely have money to even eat right now we are a poor nation and it's a controversial idea because india is always this country which sold this dream of hundreds of millions of customers like china but nothing between india and china is common except our population that's where the similarity ends

0.52

Free charge (Shah's first startup) succeeded by offering incentives (vouchers) on top of the platform, not by adding technology; the innovation was behavioral (giving people a reason to use the platform), not technical, and this is why he built an original company despite having no engineering background.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

free charge was one of the few original ideas the reason i built an original company because i had no engineering background i had no friends who had built tech startups in fact i didn't even think i was building a tech startup i thought i was building a marketing company which turned out to be one of the largest payments company in india because i had never read techcrunch in my life

0.52

Sequoia's meeting with Shah shocked him because he didn't know CAC (customer acquisition cost) as a term; he had no vocabulary for startup metrics, which he now believes is a superpower because vocabulary limits behavior—if you don't know the word, you don't suffer from the concept.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i remember they're asking that so canal what's your cac and i had no clue what that word meant and i think it's a superpower i think vocabulary is a unique curse that we suffer every word we know i truly believe that uh if you don't know these words we'll probably not suffer them

0.52

The dam builder analogy: most founders are building dams hoping rivers will show up; instead, they should find where the rivers (human motivations) already exist, then build dams on those rivers; building a better dam in the desert is pointless, no matter how much technology you add.

definitionhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i saw them building dams in hope that river will show up but river never shows up river exists and every time they discover that hey river is not coming to my dam instead of moving the dam to river they make the dams even more funkier and cooler and with ai and all of that stuff but the water never comes

0.52

Shah built the Delta IV framework by studying biological evolution, physics, and trust during the period between his first and second startups, realizing that startup evolution mirrors biological evolution where organisms adapt to environmental pressure; the framework codifies how to find market fit (Delta IV).

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i started working on a framework uh i call it the delta iv framework on predicting startup success because my curiosity was that how am i able to be successful more often when i'm not even one-tenth the academic smarts that some of these guys have demonstrated in the past but why am i able to do it more successfully so i built a framework and and because i was between two startups i had a time to read up on physics and biology and evolutionary biology

0.52

Shamelessness is the most important ingredient for connecting dots and seeking truth; shameless people make conjectures publicly without fear of judgment, get corrected, and refine their understanding; shame prevents public idea-sharing and therefore prevents collaborative learning.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

go deeper on that um shameless people make more conjectures without any fear of judgment right hypothetically is that i will make a conjecture randomly and write as if it's some law of physics and people bash me and correct me and sharpen my inside or connect even further dots for me and then i'm like wow i have a new insight on top of that because i just put a conductor out there without giving a damn of people thinking that how the hell can he say like this

0.52

Everything that we are proud of publicly (achievements, affiliations, identities) are the handles others use to manipulate us; people show their 'proud father' or 'proud alumni' identity to fit in, but this makes them vulnerable to trigger points and manipulation based on those identity signals.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

uh i also know that everything that we are proud of are the handles that we give to other humans to manipulate us so every time everything that i write on twitter as things that i am proud of like people's intros and descriptions are the trigger points put in public for example if you write i don't know proud father proud american fastest way to manipulate you is the things that i have shown in public what i'm proud of

0.52

The path from shame to normalcy runs through pride; you can make people stop feeling ashamed about any behavior by converting it into a matter of pride; this is why 'gay pride' works—it transforms shame into pride—and why this is a powerful hack for changing behavior but also easily misused.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i found an interesting hypothesis that the fastest way to make somebody feel okay about what they're ashamed of is to make them feel proud about it for example the path to from shame to normalcy is through pride uh which is obviously used and misused in different ways so gay pride and if you are a man if you have tobacco and you are a classy person if you have this whiskey so every vice becomes normal or every shameful behavior becomes normal when you convert this into pride

0.52

Shah removed all identity markers from his Twitter (no 'proud' statements, no bio, no profile picture) because the locus of control should be internal, not external; people who need external validation (likes, retweets) are optimizing for others' metrics and building less substance because they're not tracking internal improvement.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i removed everything from my twitter i have no nothing written on my twitter as my identity uh and and i i believe that one day you should give up your name also and profile picture also and and get into that zone because uh that's when you become impossible to manipulate or impossible to trigger because you are nothing nobody and you just exist in the background right

0.52

Maxwell's demon was proposed as a thought experiment that supposedly violated entropy law by selectively sorting molecules; later it was realized the demon's brain/information processing is part of the system, so entropy still increases due to information asymmetry; this principle applies to wealth: those with information asymmetry accumulate wealth.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

there's an interesting thing that was was called the maxwell's demon problem which was the only thing that said a proof that entropy is not increasing it can be reversed because it was a concept which was basically maxwell demon has this glass box maxwell is a scientist who came up with this uh theory that entropy is not a law because it can be proven to not be true by maxwell's demon experiment

0.52

Humans are the best agents of entropy; we heat up oceans and cause global warming through our energy consumption; sustainable energy (solar) is a way to create wealth without the environmental side effect of other energy methods; the question is always: can you get rich without increasing entropy?

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

humans are the only species that are figured out how to increase the entropy of the system like we are the best agents of entropy because we've heated up the entire ocean thanks to our activity right and and global warming is a function of us creating more wealth through the process of inefficient thing and therefore going after sustainable energy is a great way of being richer without causing the environmental damage

0.52

Wealth rarely stays generational; two-three generations later wealth is lost because descendants lack the ability to keep secrets/hold information asymmetry or they get manipulated into schemes; this is why lottery winners and inheritance recipients often lose wealth—they didn't build the psychological muscle to hold it.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

generationally like you will see that uh a lot of time two three generation later wealth does not stay because you will always create somebody who's not very good at keeping secrets or holding the ground or uh keeping and they'll be always people who like manipulate them into these schemes and all of that and they will lose it right

0.52

Emotion is good for detecting problems (diagnosis), terrible for solving problems (treatment); mothers intuitively know something is wrong with their child even when doctors can't find it, showing emotions are valuable for problem detection but dangerous for decision-making about solutions.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

problems to solve are or to feel are through emotions right so for example a lot of times uh founders uh are like parents who sometimes just know intuitively something is wrong with their kid or their startup or their company but emotions are not good enough to solve the problem but they are very good at knowing intuitively something is off and and you like even doctors will struggle when a mother feels something about the kid and like they're like we can't find something and then something is off and they just feel it and it's a great place to find something to be fixed not a great tool to use how to fix because emotions will make you do stupid decisions on how to solve that problem

0.52

Instead of keeping a private decision journal, Shah makes public predictions on Twitter and uses the 'remind me' feature to check them later, crowd-sourcing his decision-making validation; this makes the decision-making process transparent and allows others to correct him.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i don't but i have built a habit of tweeting my predictions and people do one funny thing i don't know if you've seen this remind me of this in 12 months that people tag so i make a prediction that this is going to be this behavior in two years time and people respond to that tweet by saying remind me of this in 24 months and that tool reminds you to check this tweet in 24 months

0.52

Success metric should be 'experiences per year' not 'years of experience'; people who pack more feedback loops into each year (diverse projects, failures, learning) compound faster than those who repeat the same year 10 times; the slope matters more than the total years.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i believe that historically people were hired for years of experience i think in future people will be hired for experiences per year right and i think that is going to create this that is your dx by why is your slope really really high

0.52

Global internet companies prioritize user acquisition in India as a per-capita strategy (low ARPU acceptable) because global ARPU compensates for regional losses and they require India's user volume to maintain platform relevance.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

they don't mind that because the global rpu compensates for the rpo mix but the user mix cannot come from anywhere else and therefore the market will reward like netflix made the mistake of coming to india and say we'll charge you for it nobody is going to pay that

0.52

Insight is the smallest unit of actionable truth, distilled from Sanskrit philosophy where wisdom was compressed into minimalist units for oral transmission before writing was invented.

definitionhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

if you go to ancient hindu mythology and and study the sanskrit scripts and sanskrit was a very condensed language right because it was invented before paper was invented so knowledge was transmitted from human to human through memory so they had to distill the wisdom in the smallest unit possible that could be memorized and transmitted from human to human

0.52

Outsourcing growth via network change: systematically upgrading your peer network to people with higher ambitions eliminates local-scale envy (the gap to Elon remains infinite, removing envy) while creating upward pressure.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

we all are going to be driven by the wi-fi network range of our nv or our comparison and therefore you and people like i think naval twitter today and i had also responded back to that that we outgrow uh the price of growth is outgrowing people is is this because if you really change your wi-fi network all the time to people with better ambitions better goals uh you will not feel that need uh to win within this that local league uh of yours

0.52

Processing power scarcity (not increased intolerance) explains modern polarization: media hijacks attention, leaving no cognitive resources for nuance; with less nuance, people default to authoritarian leaders who reduce decision complexity.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

people are not more intolerant they are just running out of processing power per day more than anybody else in the humanity ever did so it's not unusual to like authoritarian leaders because i can't process all this information

0.52

Western media influence is measurable through Google Trends heat maps; global spikes in searches for Western celebrities are absent in India, Africa, Indonesia, showing geographic patterns of Western media dominance.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

when will smith's had that event at oscars i looked at google trends and saw on the heat map of the world where did will smith as a keyword take off because google trends went like this like this but on the global heat map only if some places went really dark most places had no search jump and i was like this is perfect this is final map of to knowing where the western media has huge influence

0.52

Compounding of knowledge, wealth, and growth is faster when you're part of a group of people collecting dots from different domains and connecting them; shallow generalists (people who know a little about many things) compound faster than deep specialists because they see cross-domain patterns.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

insights are usually connected from random dots getting connected right so but the process of collecting dots has to be efficient for the process of connecting dots to be more efficient uh and and then collecting dots is easier if your friends are also collecting dots to connect dots so what happens is that compounding naturally works better when you have a lot of people from different domains of life who are constantly collecting dots

0.52

Historically abundant opportunity in large markets made founder quality paramount; now saturated markets require founder quality be paired with tribal network effects for success.

forecasthigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

it's a great idea to build in western markets where there are so many rivers and there is such a big economy that even some accidental drivel flowing through you will make a lot of money in india there are no accidental it's like you're building in dessert right so you have to make sure you're a dessert like you have to really build the rivers the right dance is the right place because there's no unlimited rivers flowing

0.52

Good decision-makers have more choices in their domain than others, and expertise in decision-making correlates with choice availability; success is quantifiable as having more choices than peers.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

somebody who has more choices usually has ability to make better decisions than people who have lesser choices let me explain what i mean by that a person who's less person who's like likely to be able to get anybody to marry them and they have the ability to do that are likely to be better at taking decisions on how to marry somebody right and it sounds weird but choices just make them better

0.52

Surface-level truth-seeking misses deeper problems because founders don't go 3+ levels deep; understanding the real problem (not what's presented) unlocks larger TAM and sustainable models.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

surface level truth seeking therefore does not create enduring businesses because you really don't know why the hell are people really using your product what is the real problem are you solving not what you're saying what it is solving there's an underlying three levels deeper thing which should give you a much larger market and tam to operate in but you don't really go seek that

0.52

Global information networks (Netflix, YouTube, Twitter) are creating one shared narrative globally, reducing local diversity and cultural variance, and making the world less tolerant through narrative homogenization.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the world has become this superconductor where one meme goes to hundreds of millions of people quickly information gossip uh fake videos uh content about uh johnny depp's divorce like it's spreading so quickly and and all of that and there is nobody no interest in going to nuances and going into these things because you have to be connected to this global thing of being connected to the narrative and i go for dinner and people talk about this i need to want to be look like an idiot who's not knowing the common topic

0.52

There is an optimal balance between diversity and similarity in societies: too little diversity and innovation dies from conformity; too much diversity and trust dies from fragmentation; maintaining the right 'healthy mix' is necessary to keep a society moving forward without becoming stagnant or chaotic.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Unidentified Speaker — Core Human Motivations | Kunal Shah | Knowledge Project 141 [nl1PIagzgUo]

there's one more nuance if it becomes too similar innovation dies it becomes too dissimilar trust dies so it seems to be in an interesting spectrum that you can only have a certain mix that keeps driving things to move forward versus become stagnant and boring and too chaotic

0.52

The Delta IV framework: any product or service that improves the efficiency score from a state A to state B by 4+ points on a 10-point scale creates three irreversible outcomes: (1) irreversible behavior change, (2) extremely high customer tolerance (they hate it but won't delete it), and (3) a 'unique brag worthy proposition' (UBP) where users can't stop talking about it.

definitionhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the framework is very simple that every time the delta of efficiency score is greater than equal to four three things happen uh it's an irreversible behavior once you experience a delta for product or service you cannot go back there is obviously very very high tolerance uh that's the second thing that you will hate uber but you're not gonna like damn it i'm gonna delete this app

0.52

Cryptocurrency resembles religion: growth viability depends on continuous DAU/user growth; faiths with declining adherent growth are replaced (similar to Snapchat post-decline); religions achieved perpetual growth through organizational design.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

crypto is like religion that there are multiple religions but the true test of religion that is there is that is it adding more dius every day like look at christianity or islam or hinduism it's adding more dius every single day and it's market share and therefore they're much more robust compared to many other religions when they uh what if uh like snapchat had a user growth decline what if christianity has a user decline on growth would it start giving power away to something else

0.52

Envy is spatially localized (wifi-ranged): people feel envious only of peers in their immediate network; distant figures (Elon Musk) don't trigger envy because the gap feels unachievable.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

envy is hyper local it's like wi-fi it works only in a local radius right i don't feel envious with elon musk it's not even in my network so humans have this unique thing of having envy in a hyper local network we don't feel envious of people who we don't believe in and therefore it's good to constantly change who your network is

0.52

Princeton Reuten, founder of Bombay Stock Exchange, was once the richest person in India (and likely holds Guinness World Record for largest inflation-adjusted trade), lost all his wealth in a failed real estate project, but is now almost completely unknown in India—demonstrating how low-shame business cultures allow for total wealth destruction and recovery without long-term reputational damage.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

there is this guy who comes from nowhere starts his business below a tree becomes the wealthiest person and gets wiped out and literally like 100 percent of indians and indian businessmen have no clue about this guy

0.51

In India's business communities, the caste system designated certain groups (weisha/baniya caste) for commerce over generations, creating a cultural norm where business is the primary occupation and shame about failure is significantly lower than in other communities, enabling more risk-taking.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 4/4· Kunal Shah

in india we have a deep rooted caste system where we had forecasts and one of the cost of the forecast is the business cost and for multiple generations everybody in that has only done business right it's called the weisha or the baniya cast and for this group of people jobs is an unusual thing

0.50

A company becomes 'big' (mature) when it reduces the concentration of high-slope people; high performers will leave if surrounded by low performers because they want to work with people who push them; retention of high-slope people is the hardest thing to do at scale.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

when does a startup become a big company is amazon a startup or a big company is uber a startup or a big company like is one billion dollar valuation makes you a big company i think the answer is very simple when you reduce the concentration of people with very high slope in the company yeah trajectory matters more correct so if you reduce the concentration of people who are not high slow constantly then you become a big company because by design preservation does not come for people with high slope

0.50

'WHYFI school' (pronounced WHY-FI): daily practice of asking children 'why' questions at dinner, requiring overnight answer, compounds curiosity and insight-generation exponentially over 1-2 years.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

something i call it the wi-fi school i like w-h-y-f-i which means what you do is at every day at dinner uh tell them ask them a why question or they can propose a why question and the next day they come up with the answer uh on why it is the case that way and like why is the sky blue or you can take anything they can take why is this team called this name why is it so expensive to advertise on super bowl whatever it is

0.49

Shah made a public conjecture during COVID that lighter viruses spread faster but are less fatal (correlation with virus weight/potency); the conjecture applied to startups: products that spread faster (light trojan/simple to use) have lighter implementation, and this principle connects virology to viral growth (TikTok).

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

i put a conjecture out during covert that maybe the new variants are lighter in weight therefore they can spread faster but they are less fatal because viruses seem to have a correlation of weight uh with how potent they can be like for example hiv is a much heavier virus than common cold and therefore it spreads through blood transfusion or sexual transmission but it is a lot more potent uh versus common cold which can spread through air

0.49

The pandemic was an amygdala-hijacked moment where people's threat response was activated, causing them to engage in more risky behavior because survival instinct overrides normal risk assessment; historically crises are followed by booms (Spanish flu → Roaring 20s) and crises act as a fast-forward button to future eventualities.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

when we went through pandemic i believe that the whole world had this amygdala hijacked moment where they said oh my god i have to really survive and i need to take more risky behavior because i think the amygdala probably flared up during this time and therefore risky behavior seems to happen right after crisis because people just go all in

0.48

Elon Musk is extraordinary at collecting and retaining high-slope people, constantly keeping them ambitious and engaged; orchestrating these people is the core skill, and he may build 5-6 companies worth $500B+ each because of this talent magnet effect.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

elon is going to probably have i don't know five 500 billion dollar plus companies maybe six i think the biggest thing he's done he's just extraordinary at collecting strong slow people all the time and keeping them engaged to feel excited and ambitious about doing what they are doing because they they just will push everything and all you have to do is orchestrate those people uh to do great things

0.48

Shah met 10 founders building laundry startups in India (copying NYC model) simultaneously, even though India has maids at home who do laundry, showing how founders copy without understanding local context; investors were equally clueless, funding businesses that don't solve actual problems in the market.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i saw there were 10 startups that were funded for doing laundry startups which were popular in new york but in india we had maids coming at home why do we need a laundry startup but there were 10 companies that got funded so there were so many investors who were clueless so many founders who are living in india who are clueless

0.48

Shah personally refuses to display luxury goods despite wealth (uses a scooter, rents apartment, one car) which violates Asian Maslow expectations; people don't believe he's wealthy because he doesn't follow the status display protocol, finding his choices 'eccentric' and incomprehensible.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i i i have a two-wheeler scooter that i move around with and and people with some affluence doing this kind of behavior are mostly considered to be veer eccentric uh i don't see any joy in having fancy things i i just managed to get a car for myself for long distances but i still use my scooter all the time and for most people this is absurd because i am not following the asian maslow that you have to get a luxury car and you can get so many more cars and why aren't you having this fancy house for yourself and why are you staying in a rented apartment like it's just absurd to the point that they want to believe that maybe i'm not really affluent

0.48

There is a massive advantage in being willing to look like an idiot in the short term; people afraid of appearing foolish are locked into mediocrity; willingness to be visibly wrong, to ask naive questions, to fail publicly is correlated with growth.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Unidentified Speaker — Core Human Motivations | Kunal Shah | Knowledge Project 141 [nl1PIagzgUo]

there's so much advantage in life that comes from being willing to look like an idiot in the short term and i think that goes to something you said earlier and that there's this quote by lou brock that always stands out to me which is show me a man that's afraid to look like an idiot and i'll show you a man i could beat every time

0.47

People naturally understand the value of time only when their first job is paid hourly; in India, where salaries are monthly, people never develop an intuitive sense of hourly value, leading them to make poor time-allocation decisions like spending hours deleting WhatsApp photos to save $1 on cloud storage rather than buying the cloud service.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the most simplest answer i've found is as trust is natural in societies that have very low diversity of ethnicity and that is a scary thought because all sorts of bad behavior have happened in human history because we tried to attack the minority and and always try to uh make the society one uh i but it's unfortunately seems to be true that trust is biological and and we seem to trust people with common belief systems and and and ethnicity plays a huge role

0.47

Products that save time are monetizable in Western societies but rarely monetize in Asian societies because Westerners understand the hourly value of time while Asians do not; therefore convenience-based businesses fail in Asia but succeed in the West.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

products that sell convenience and save you your time rarely monetize which monetize a lot in the western society because everybody understands the value of our because their first job was i don't know 10 an hour and then now they are doing well in life but they can still do a math on approximate basis now my salary seems to be 500 an hour

0.47

Indian founders are trained to crack exams (follow existing rules) rather than create exams (invent new categories); this makes them world-class at execution but unable to invent original products; they're pattern followers, not pattern creators, which is why many Indian founders succeed in US companies but few create global consumer brands from India.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i found this to be thinking indians were very good at cracking an exam that existed versus creating an exam that does not exist so that created an interesting option that you can build startups like everybody knows indian spends a lot on weddings like it's a known thing people love to go to the indian weddings and they they keep hearing this i'll give you an interesting data point like i checked in my office uh most people spent close to six times their annual salary for their wedding wow okay but zero unicorn startups solving wedding problems

0.47

The only good use of reading biography/autobiography is to be able to answer 'Would person X do this?' about decisions; most people read biographies for inspiration or life lessons but miss the point—the real value is building a mental model of someone's decision-making.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

and i think uh the only good use of reading a autobiography your biography is to be able to answer this question that would elon do this would steve will do this

0.47

Super apps and conglomerates emerge predominantly in low-trust societies because they represent a concentration of trust; consumers will use multiple services from a trusted brand they know rather than trusting new brands, so trust-concentrated companies can cross-sell across industries without customer acquisition cost.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

it's very easy to find super apps in asia but rarely you find super apps in uh western societies but it's also true for superstars and and super companies and conglomerates so every low trust society which is usually non-western society a lot of them are low trust there is always concentration of trust every lotus society will have concentration of trust and when that high trust entity launches 25 things people just use it

0.47

Inside is the smallest unit of truth that is actionable, and people who operate in the currency of insights tend to be generally more successful, at least in business.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

you'll rarely meet successful people who are not insightful uh i believe that inside is the smallest unit of truth that is actionable uh and and therefore people who operate in the currency of insights tend to be generally more successful at least in business

0.46

Fandom (from 'fanatic') indicates a person is easily triggered; having strong favorites demonstrates vulnerability to emotional manipulation because favorites become manipulation handles.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 2/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

the word fan probably comes from the word fanatic and fanatics are the easiest to trigger in fact i believe that all the people who demonstrate the need to be fans are the people who are easiest to offend uh in life

0.45

Most founders cannot answer the core question: 'Will someone actually pay for this?' They focus on functional utility instead of the emotional/status benefit, and struggle to imagine how their product scales from initial state to large company; they either get stuck in 'this is what I do' or build a 'Swiss knife' instead of a 'knife.'

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

another thing is that why would somebody pay for this and and it's surprising how most people do not understand that nobody's gonna pay for that like like just that basic test nobody's gonna pay for that like uh like will your dad pay for this will your mom pay for this will your cfo pay for this will your kid pay for this like they are just off on that

0.45

Successful people are naturally good at judgment because they constantly journal and reflect objectively on past decisions without emotional bias; they evaluate what happened, why, and improve their decision algorithm through iterative review.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i do believe that some people are just naturally good at judgment uh and and the the reason they are very good at that because they love to be right a lot and i think uh i i'm sure you had talked about this concept of decision journals and all of that but the thing is that intuitively people who are very good at decision making are constantly journaling without even sometimes not writing but constantly evaluating everything that did in the past objectively without feeling emotional about it and constantly reflecting on it and improving their algorithm right

0.45

80-85% of people in India with over 200 in investment in assets (stocks, mutual funds, etc.) come from business communities; the rest of the society has dramatically lower investment participation, showing massive risk-taking disparity between communities.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

india has india is a very large country but the total number of people who have invested in any kind of asset stock mutual funds any of that is around 30 million 30 35 million i would go to the extent of saying that 80 85 of people who are having more than 200 of investment in any of these assets are people from this community that's how risk covers the rest of the society is compared to these guys

0.45

90-95% of coins traded on crypto exchanges are not in the top 5 or even top 10 cryptocurrencies because people don't want normal returns; they want the chance to jump status levels like in Vegas, so they chase speculative assets with higher potential payoffs.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 2/4· Kunal Shah

i was shocked when i got to know that 90 95 of all coins that were traded on all crypto exchanges were not in the top five not even the top ten because who wants the normal returns i i just want a chance to just play that

0.43

One good framework for long-term decision-making is to ask: 'What would person X do?' where X is someone known for good judgment in that domain; mimicking the thinking patterns of successful people is more useful than memorizing their outcomes.

normativehigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i think uh in terms of decision making uh you know there is this thing that you say what would steve do and what would bezos do what would this do actually sounds stupid but it's not uh or what would jesus do right is are good frameworks to say that let me try to think like them and see if they would do it or not

0.43

Business families develop an intuitive understanding of unit economics and where value resides in a product or service, treating this as small talk and a foundational skill taught from childhood, unlike other communities that never learn to analyze business fundamentals.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

the second piece is just natural understanding of where is the value in everything why would somebody pay for it is almost intuitively taught from childhood you just know what are people really paying for right and a natural understanding of which products would have higher gross margins or lower gross margins right it's a very interesting thing that when you grow up in a business family they just naturally arrive at summarizing what's the value in everything

0.43

Great directors and artists who create memorable, soulful work don't care about timelines and can't be forced to ship multiple projects per year; they naturally choose inefficient, time-intensive processes that competitors using efficient methods can't replicate.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

a lot of things uh that are non-scalable let's say movie making some directors who are really known to make successful movies back to back really don't care about timelines you can't tell i don't know the best directors that oh we need to ship two movies uh every two years they will not do that right uh and i'm not saying that the others who ship one movie a year do not create value they do but you never they will never create something that is memorable and will create an experience that you will never forget

0.43

Most startups fail because they don't achieve Delta IV; they add technology without improving the core efficiency of the desired behavior; buying shirts online doesn't solve fit uncertainty so it doesn't achieve Delta IV and users still buy offline for important purchases.

causalhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i'll give you a simple framework to think where it doesn't work for example let's say let's talk about buying shirts online versus offline it's not delta four if you have let's say odd sizes or and you have the challenge and therefore shirts have not moved completely online uh and many products will not be found because just by adding tech it doesn't become delta four right it has to improve the efficiency score of the desired behavior

0.43

Sequoia US introduced the Delta IV framework in their analyst onboarding after Shah presented it in India; this suggests the framework has been validated by top-tier investors, even though Indian startups still ignore it and fail at 90% rate.

factualhigh valuespeaker onlynovelty 1/4durability 3/4· Kunal Shah

i talked about it in india funny enough i i was told by sequoia in the us they've actually introduced this framework and the onboarding of analysts in the secret u.s team which was interesting because in india even if i've spoken about this framework still startups don't apply that

0.30

Valence (charge) in chemistry parallels human personality: high-valence elements bond with more substances (social/reactive people); noble gases are unreactive (introvert people), suggesting personality may map to atomic bonding patterns.

causalfringenovelty 3/4durability 1/4· Kunal Shah

in elementary table uh elements that have a lot of valencies which is uh there are more ways for them to bond with other elements are called reactive elements and maybe people who also have more valencies are the ones who are more reactive and they form bonds easily and they are likely to be more thing and therefore people who have lesser valencies are noble and that's what also called noble gases