In April (one month into war), the ongoing economic impact on the world—including food price inflation in the UK of 8%, nitrogen fertilizer shortages in Australia, and energy disruptions—creates economic pressure on the world to find a settlement.

factualpending

Speaker

Christian Smith

Evidence Quote

food prices in supermarkets could rise by up to 8%...he had about a quarter of the nitrogen fertilizer supply that he had that he needed for the coming season

Source

Avoiding Crisis in Iran: George Friedman on the Path to NegotiationGeopolitical Futures
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:14:01 PM

My Notes

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