Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi were far more accurate than traditional polling, with Polymarket reaching 90-10 odds for Trump while mainstream media and pollsters still gave Harris a viable path to victory
factualpending
Speaker
Scott GallowayEvidence Quote
“poly Market was at 9010 like 9 10 to one when it's still when you had every person on MSNBC and CNN and on Amazon saying well she can still pull it off”
Created: 8/12/2026, 10:33:51 PM
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