The Taiwan Strait situation was expected to grow more tense after August 2022 military exercises, but improved by 2024—an outcome few anticipated but one that remains fragile with continued risk.

factualpending

Speaker

Jake Sullivan

Evidence Quote

That is an outcome that few may have foreseen in August of 2022, when most expected the cross-strait situation to grow more tense, not less. But it's no guarantee of future trends, and the risk remains real.

Source

The Future of U.S.-China RelationsCouncil on Foreign Relations
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:11:50 PM

My Notes

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