NATO war plans indicate that to fight credibly, European forces would need to spend above 3% of GDP on defense, with NATO Secretary General sometimes using the figure of 3.7%, accounting for the loss of some American capabilities if America shifts focus to Asia.

factualpending

Speaker

Shashank Joshi

Evidence Quote

if you look at the NATO War plans as they exist the consensus is if you want to have the forces to fight with them credibly you would need Europe to spend above 3% of GDP on defense

Source

Ode to dread: Europe after TrumpThe Economist
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:05:18 AM

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