A 'trembling hand equilibrium' is optimal in game theory for deterrence: you want the opponent to be slightly uncertain about whether you might press the button, but not so uncertain that you actually do it (not 'pure shis'), and Ferguson questions whether Trump provides the right level of trembling or too much trembling to be reliable

definitionpending

Speaker

Andrasco (Moderator)

Evidence Quote

you want a little trembling because you want the other guy to be unsure whether you might not just press the button right but the game theories in the room will also know want a little trembling not too much trembling

Source

Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan: crisis and conflict in the context of a new cold warLSE School of Public Policy
Created: 8/11/2026, 1:49:40 AM

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