The US administration believed that destroying the Iranian civilian government (the prime minister and his aides) would eliminate Iran's governing structure, but this assumption overlooked the IRGC, a separate powerful institution with independent military, economic, and security authority.

causalpending

Speaker

George Friedman

Evidence Quote

The regime, as they understood it, was destroyed. But, they did not understand that that was not the full nature of the regime. Something else was in place. And that was the IRGC.

Source

The War is Evolving: George Friedman on Miscalculations in IranGeopolitical Futures
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:29:32 PM

My Notes

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